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Updated at 21:02 (Italian time) 5 Oct 2026

Economy & Markets Monday, 5 October 2026 · AI-generated content, without human review

Delfin leaning towards yes to Intesa's offer on Mps

The Del Vecchio family's holding company would be inclined to join the Opas with its stake, paving the way for banking consolidation

Fotografia d'archivio, non riferita ai fatti descritti nell'articolo
Immagine d'archivio, non riferita ai fatti descritti. Foto di DUCTINH91 su Pixabay

The board of directors of Delfin, the Del Vecchio family’s holding company, would have leaned towards supporting the public purchase and exchange offer launched by Intesa Sanpaolo on Monte dei Paschi di Siena. This is reported by financial press sources, according to which the holding company would commit to joining the operation with its own stake, equal to 17.6% of the Sienese bank’s capital.

Delfin’s possible participation would carry a specific weight greater than that of the percentage held alone: the holding company is the main private shareholder of Mps after the Ministry of Economy and Finance, and a yes from it would signal to the other shareholders the direction taken by the operation. Until now, the outcome of the Opas launched by Intesa remained tied to the choices of Monte’s major reference shareholders, as well as that of the Treasury, which in recent years has progressively reduced its stake in the Sienese bank without exiting entirely.

The operation is part of a reorganisation process in the Italian banking sector that has been underway for months, with Intesa Sanpaolo in the role of acquirer and Mps as the subject of the offer. Participation by the Del Vecchio family’s holding company, if confirmed in the next stages of the operation, would significantly reduce the area of uncertainty surrounding the final outcome of the exchange, shifting attention to the moves of Monte’s other institutional shareholders.

At present, the information is circulating through the financial press and has not been confirmed by official statements from the two companies involved. The picture therefore remains provisional: a possible formal decision by Delfin’s board, if and when made public, would be the step that would transform the reported orientation into a definitive and binding position for the purposes of the offer.

For the Italian banking market, accustomed in recent years to aggregation operations between credit institutions, the outcome of the Intesa-Mps Opas represents one of the most closely followed dossiers in the sector. Delfin’s stake, built up over the years by the Del Vecchio family through diversified investments that also include the banking sector, has repeatedly drawn the attention of analysts precisely because of its possible role as the tipping point in sectoral consolidation operations.

Spread at 132 points and inflation at 4.2%: a snapshot of Italian markets

The Btp-Bund spread hit 132 basis points in a week of global government bond sell-offs, while Italian inflation in September rose to 4.2%, driven by energy costs.

Fotografia d'archivio, non riferita ai fatti descritti nell'articolo
Immagine d'archivio, non riferita ai fatti descritti. Foto di Alex Luna su Pexels

The spread between Btp and Bund touched 132 basis points before narrowing, with the Milan stock exchange nonetheless closing in positive territory. The movement comes amid a week marked by a global sell-off in government bonds, fueled by inflation and oil prices hovering around $100 a barrel. The US 10-year Treasury hit 5.34%, a level not seen since 2002, while the 10-year Btp reached 4.8%.

According to the sources consulted, what worries markets more than Italian debt is French debt: the Oat-Bund spread has returned to levels seen during the European debt crisis of 2012, after Piazza Affari lost 2.2% last Thursday.

On the price front, the Italian index for September rose to 4.2% from 3.3% in August, while the European harmonized index shows a more contained 4.1%. Prices are being pushed up mainly by energy costs: regulated energy prices rose 25.9% and non-regulated ones 22.2%. Inflation data so far comes from a single source, an analysis of Istat and Eurostat data cited in a market report; no independent confirmation is currently available.

IndicatorValue
Btp-Bund spread (peak)132 basis points
US 10-year Treasury5.34% (highest since 2002)
10-year Btp4.8%
Italy inflation (September)4.2% (up from 3.3% in August)
EU harmonized inflation4.1%
ECB deposit rate2.5%

The European Central Bank has already raised rates twice, bringing the deposit rate to 2.5%, and expects inflation in the euro area to reach as high as 3.6%. Oil above $100 a barrel remains, in this context, the variable linking the trend in Italian energy prices to tensions in international bond markets.

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